Stage: Technical Validation and Asset Proof
No credits have been issued. This project is subject to validation, registry acceptance, and market adoption.

Turning Unproduced Oil Intoa Carbon Asset Class

UOS Energy is developing a methodology-driven approach to generate high-integrity carbon credits by permanently foregoing oil extraction.

The Theaus methodology is now in technical validation with independent engineering and third-party review.

A New Category at Industrial Scale

If validated, avoided fossil extraction could represent one of the largest untapped segments of the voluntary carbon market. Initial modeling suggests potential issuance of up to ~131 million carbon credits across UOS net holdings over time.

This is not a niche offset. It is a potential new asset class.

A Simple Question With Large Implications

Every barrel of oil that remains underground represents avoided future emissions. UOS Energy is building the framework to measure, verify, and monetize that impact. This is our first test of the case for ending tar sands extraction in the United States, starting with significant reserves in Utah. If it works here, the model scales nationally.

Why This Is Being Tested Now

Three conditions are now in place:

Methodology Exists

A defined methodology now exists to quantify avoided extraction emissions (TGSM v1.0, ISO 14064-2:2019 aligned).

Precedent Underway

A comparable Alberta project is undergoing validation using that methodology, providing a live test case.

Market Shifting

Carbon markets are moving toward higher integrity and permanence. Geologic storage outperforms nature-based alternatives.

How the Approach Works

The project compares two scenarios:

Baseline Scenario

Oil is extracted, refined, and consumed. Emissions occur across the full lifecycle.

Project Scenario

Oil remains in the ground. Emissions are avoided, adjusted for market substitution effects.

The difference is measurable. And monetizable.

Potential credits are only issued if the avoided emissions are real, measurable, and additional.

This Works Only If Three Things Are True

1

Economic Extraction Case Exists

Independent engineers must confirm the oil could be produced profitably. Without this, no potential credits would be issued.

2

Methodology Is Validated

The carbon accounting framework must pass third-party validation and registry acceptance.

3

Buyers Accept the Credits

Carbon market participants must be willing to purchase credits from this category.

If any one of these conditions fails, the project does not proceed.

Grounded in a Defined Framework

UOS Energy is applying the Theaus Carbon Sequestration Methodology, an ISO-aligned framework developed with third-party engineering and validation partners. A comparable project in Alberta is currently progressing through validation, providing a live precedent.

This is not a theoretical construct. It follows a defined and testable process.

View Methodology →

Potential Scale, Subject to Validation

The first project is modeled to generate approximately 23.5M carbon credits over its lifecycle. Figures below are the UOS share of net revenue.

Credit PriceNet to UOS (share)
$5$36M
$10$73M
$15$108M

First-project economics, Medium case, per UOS price sensitivity model (1 Aug 2026), on 23.5M credits net to the project. Net shown is the UOS share. Illustrative, not a projection. Subject to validation, issuance, and market conditions.

The opportunity is potentially large, but entirely dependent on successful validation and market acceptance.

Why This Has Not Been Done at Scale

Creating carbon credits from avoided extraction presents real challenges:

Additionality

Must be proven with credible economic evidence that extraction would otherwise occur.

Validation

Methodologies must withstand strict third-party scrutiny and registry acceptance.

Market Trust

Buyers must trust permanence and integrity of a new credit category.

High bar. That is why the approach is staged and gated.

A Staged Capital Strategy

1

Stage 1

Reserve verification and additionality testing.

2

Stage 2

Project design and third-party validation.

3

Stage 3

Registry submission, rating, and buyer engagement.

Capital is deployed only as risk is reduced.

Who This Is For

This opportunity is for investors who understand binary risk, are comfortable funding technical validation, and want early exposure to a new carbon market category.

The Opportunity

What is being avoided, and why it matters.

Tar sands extraction is one of the most carbon-intensive forms of oil production on Earth. UOS Energy holds net interests in approximately 575 million barrels of oil in place across its Utah lease position, with our first project covering up to 152 million barrels. Our first project tests whether non-extraction creates more value than extraction.

ScenarioOutcome
Extract oilCash flow + lifecycle emissions
Do not extract (no credits)Zero value
Do not extract (with credits)Potential carbon asset
Baseline ScenarioExtraction
Extracted
Oil is extracted, transported, refined, combusted.
Lifecycle CI = 650 kg CO2e/BOE
Project ScenarioPreserved
Preserved
Oil remains underground permanently.
Substitute CI = 540 kg CO2e/BOE, 57% leakage
Net Emission Reduction = Baseline − Project (leakage-adjusted)

Lifecycle Emissions Explained

When oil is extracted, every stage produces emissions: drilling and steam generation, pipeline transport, refinery processing, and end-use combustion. The TGSM measures this full well-to-wheels chain using peer-reviewed data from the OCI+ database. For Canadian oil sands, total lifecycle intensity is 650 kg CO2e per barrel.

Market Context

Voluntary carbon credits trade at $5 to $15 per tonne depending on type, vintage, rating, and co-benefits. Novel methodologies price at a discount until rated. Geologic permanence commands a premium over nature-based credits.

First project economics (23.5M credits, two BLM leases)

Price/CreditGrossNet to UOS (share)
$5$117M$36M
$10$235M$73M
$15$353M$108M

First-project economics, Medium case, per UOS price sensitivity model (1 Aug 2026), on 23.5M credits net to the project. Net shown is the UOS share. The two-lease first project is the proof case. All figures subject to validation.

How It Works

Three steps. One measurable outcome.

01

Baseline Emissions

An independent petroleum engineer confirms the oil is technically and economically extractable. The full lifecycle emissions are calculated: extraction, transport, refining, combustion.

02

Project Scenario

UOS elects not to extract. The oil stays underground. Market leakage (substitute oil from other producers) is calculated at 56.9% and deducted from the credit count.

03

Net Credit Issuance

The difference between baseline and project emissions, after leakage and buffer, yields verified carbon credits. Each potential credit = 1 tonne CO2e avoided, subject to validation.

Market Leakage (~57%)

When one producer withholds supply, other producers partially fill the gap. The TGSM applies a 56.9% leakage rate from Prest et al. (2024), meaning only 43.1% of gross avoided emissions count toward credits. This is conservative: most academic literature puts leakage at 10-30%.

Additionality

Potential credits would only be issued if extraction would have happened without the carbon project. UOS must prove: (1) extraction is legally permitted, (2) extraction is financially viable (positive NPV), and (3) the extraction method works for this deposit. If the oil was never going to be produced, no credits are earned.

Our Methodology

ISO 14064-2:2019 aligned. Independently developed. Third-party verified.

Invest in Verified Non-Extraction

A new class of carbon credits based on the permanent decision not to extract.

152M
Barrels in place (first project)
23.5M
Credits (first project)
$73M
Net revenue at $10/credit (UOS share)
<$2M
Development budget

Company estimates, subject to validation.

This Is a Binary, Early-Stage Investment

UOS Energy is not raising capital to drill, extract, refine, or produce oil. It is raising capital to test whether non-extraction can generate verified carbon credits. The investment case: (1) the oil exists, (2) extraction must be viable, (3) UOS elects not to extract, (4) avoided emissions are quantified, (5) credits are verified, issued, and sold.

Why Now

The methodology now exists. A comparable Alberta project has a completed PDD and validated verification. UOS applies that framework to a larger Utah reserve position. UOS is not inventing the category. It is applying an emerging methodology to its own asset base.

Asset Summary

152M
Barrels oil in place
68M
Recoverable baseline barrels
23.5M
Credits (1 credit = 1 tonne CO2e)
21.1M
Credits after buffer

Use of Proceeds

WorkstreamPurpose
Reserve verificationConfirm barrels and technical basis
Petroleum engineeringProve viable baseline extraction case
PDD preparationPrepare project documentation
VVB validationSecure third-party review
Registry and ratingSupport issuance and marketability
Buyer engagementTest pricing and demand

Staged Capital Plan

The raise is a $2.0M staged development loan, released in two tranches against validation milestones, to trigger issuance of carbon credits to UOS Energy.

Tranche 1

Reserve verification and geological validation (GLJ).

Tranche 2

PDD preparation and VVB submission, contingent on PVC confirmation.

Risks & Validation Gates

The hard truths that determine whether this project succeeds or fails.

The Hard Truth

This investment has the potential to fail. The main question is not whether the story is attractive. The main question is whether the reserves pass the additionality test.

RiskSeverityMitigation
Reserves fail viability testSignificantEngage independent Production Volume Certifier (PVC) early
Project Design Document (PDD) fails validationSignificantUse experienced advisors
Wildwood precedent failsHighTrack before major spend
Credits price below modelHighModel downside at $5
Buyers reject categoryMediumSecure early feedback
Regulatory changeMediumReview lease/policy risks

Five Gates Before Full Commitment

1

Barrel count confirmed

2

Commercial extraction baseline confirmed

3

Additionality defensible

4

Wildwood validation path confirmed

5

Buyer feedback supports pricing

Timeline

PeriodMilestone
30 daysVerify model, engage Production Volume Certifier, confirm Wildwood status
90 daysComplete reserve and Certified Business Development Plan (CBDP) work, start Project Design Document if viable
6-12 monthsSubmit to Validation and Verification Body (VVB), seek rating, execute first sales

For Carbon Buyers

High-integrity credits from permanent geological sequestration.

Credit Integrity

Each potential UOS carbon credit would represent approximately two barrels of oil permanently left underground. The avoided lifecycle emissions cover the full well-to-wheels chain: extraction, transport, refining, and end-use combustion.

Permanence

Oil remains stored in its original deep geologic formation. There is no biological decay risk, no fire risk, and no replanting uncertainty. The sequestration commitment is 50 years with intent to make it permanent. This provides same or better durability than removal-based credits.

Conservative Accounting

57% market leakage deduction. 10% buffer pool. 5% financial assurance allocation. Peer-reviewed emission factors. Independent PVC and VVB. Every step deducts from the gross number. What survives is credible.

Verification Stack

ISO 14064-2:2019

International standard for GHG project quantification

Carbon Check VVB

Independent validation and verification

Blockchain Tracking

Liquid Network ledger for full credit lifecycle

Buyer Use Cases

Scope 3 offsetting for companies with supply-chain emissions. Corporate net-zero commitments requiring durable, non-nature-based credits. Compliance-adjacent voluntary programs seeking high-integrity instruments.

About UOS Energy

Proving that leaving oil underground creates more value than extraction.

Our Mission

UOS Energy exists to prove a single thesis: that tar sands extraction in the United States should end, and that the reserves left underground are more valuable as verified carbon assets than as produced oil. We start with significant reserves in Utah.

Team

Steven Powers

Senior Partner

Warren Dillard

Partner

Paul Walton

Partner

CONTACT: wdillard@uosenergy.us